Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.458200 2.844649 3.280328 3.809510 4.437044 5.160080 6.060015
2025-02-23 1.886613 2.392223 3.024387 3.880046 5.018980 6.498243 8.590143
2025-03-02 1.550563 2.085865 2.801965 3.843885 5.344339 7.462809 10.744925
2025-03-09 1.352801 1.908517 2.693824 3.906517 5.771769 8.599065 13.340265
2025-03-16 1.179997 1.731252 2.546466 3.869836 6.022557 9.491673 15.727713
2025-03-23 1.049383 1.593329 2.430552 3.851427 6.282211 10.424250 18.364328
2025-03-30 0.932300 1.458420 2.297016 3.777179 6.425778 11.171968 20.821290
2025-04-06 0.860541 1.385371 2.250665 3.837542 6.805571 12.397437 24.461001
2025-04-13 0.774502 1.277609 2.131331 3.749342 6.893956 13.084231 27.160305
2025-04-20 0.736543 1.246739 2.139410 3.891917 7.442064 14.773307 32.441705
2025-04-27 0.680310 1.177063 2.069209 3.874529 7.665369 15.828362 36.540621
2025-05-04 0.648420 1.147511 2.068401 3.991608 8.185159 17.624982 42.936725
2025-05-11 0.602013 1.093025 2.027317 4.050449 8.658703 19.584483 50.862546
2025-05-18 0.559949 1.043474 1.992886 4.126855 9.213196 21.948587 61.045806
2025-05-25 0.512238 0.976356 1.912931 4.088055 9.485020 23.674442 70.091116
2025-06-01 0.479945 0.936005 1.882336 4.155201 10.034319 26.302093 83.230586
2025-06-08 0.442624 0.880627 1.811925 4.115876 10.299847 28.214559 94.877390
2025-06-15 0.411062 0.833691 1.753703 4.096141 10.615201 30.377138 108.583023
2025-06-22 0.378755 0.781474 1.676857 4.016555 10.745940 32.012797 121.133581
2025-06-29 0.359254 0.755367 1.656820 4.081256 11.315862 35.279536 142.500502
2025-07-06 0.331889 0.708526 1.581955 3.986720 11.382261 36.849107 157.221760
2025-07-13 0.321197 0.698905 1.595814 4.139548 12.268916 41.696990 191.113782
2025-07-20 0.302120 0.667519 1.551880 4.120907 12.592207 44.544764 216.766186